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Post by burlington on Mar 26, 2017 23:06:41 GMT -5
Paddy Power has released some early odds on Wrestlemania. A lot can change until this Sunday so take some of these lines with a grain of salt.
Lesnar 1/14 vs Goldberg 11/2 Translation = Goldberg has got no chance in hell.
Orton 4/11 vs Bray Wyatt 15/8 Surprising to see Orton this high of a favorite. Would have liked to see Bray get a run with the title.
Owens 4/9 vs Jericho 13/8 US title makes booking this more difficult. Owens winning is the right call but i don't want to see him back in mid card title purgatory.
Reigns 4/7 vs Undertaker 5/4 Yes the Undertaker is the Underdog at Wrestlemanipun. Roman winning and turning mega heel is the way to go.
AJ Styles 1/7 vs Shane O'Mac 4/1 Thankfully with AJ as the enormous favorite it doesn't look like any Shane actually winning shenanigans will happen. Thank God.
Seth Rollins 1/6 vs HHH 7/2 Rollins is another big favorite and rightfully so. Would be silly to have his baby face comeback match end in a loss.
Cena & Nikki Bella 1/7 vs Miz & Maryse 10/3 Get your barf bags ready for when Cena proposes after winning this match.
Bayley 2/7 vs Sasha 3/1 vs Charlotte 6/1 vs Nia Jax 12/1 What a moment this is going to be with Bayley finally reaching her dream of becoming Women's champion, and Charlotte's PPV streak finally being snapped. Oh wait.......
Baron Corbin 1/6 vs Dean Ambrose 7/2 Your winner and New Intercontinental Champion Baron Corbin. Depressing.
Neville 4/11 vs Austin Aries 15/8 Don't like the hot potato title switching in the Cruiserweight division so hopefully Neville gets a extended championship run. He's been great in the role.
Gallows/Anderson 11/10 vs Enzo/Cass 7/5 vs Sheamus/Cesaro 5/2 Most evenly matched match on the card. Could see Enzo/Cass get the win for the huge baby face pop. But prefer Anderson/Gallows as champs.
Andre the Giant Battle Royal Braun Strowman 1/8 Big Show 7/1 Luke Harper 14/1 Sami Zayn 16/1 Mark Henry 20/1 Bunch of other jabronis at long odds as well - No Brainer here Braun has to and will win this match.
Now that i've ruined Wrestlemania for you. Enjoy the show!
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Post by RKing85 on Mar 26, 2017 23:20:12 GMT -5
"AJ Styles 1/7 vs Shane O'Mac 4/1 Thankfully with AJ as the enormous favorite it doesn't look like any Shane actually winning shenanigans will happen. Thank God."
Odds this far out show nothing in terms of who will actually win.
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Post by burlington on Mar 26, 2017 23:34:42 GMT -5
"AJ Styles 1/7 vs Shane O'Mac 4/1 Thankfully with AJ as the enormous favorite it doesn't look like any Shane actually winning shenanigans will happen. Thank God." Odds this far out show nothing in terms of who will actually win. Actually they are normally very good indicators as sportsbooks aren't in the business of giving away money. They would only post a line if they think they can beat it. However like i mentioned its best to take them with a grain of salt. Shit could change in a flash. A good example was just last year when Zack Ryder opened as a big underdog and closed as a huge favorite in the ladder match. I'll post the updated odds throughout the week but i don't expect any of these huge favorites to lose at the moment. But its very possible a smaller underdog like Jericho or Bray Wyatt win. Those come through sometimes.
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Post by burlington on Mar 27, 2017 21:52:06 GMT -5
Movement on Roman Reigns as he's now up to a 2/7 favorite! Undertaker sitting at 9/4
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Post by burlington on Mar 28, 2017 11:54:15 GMT -5
Orton all the way up to 1/5 Bray at 3/1
There's also a prop Does Luke Harper appear at ringside 6/4
it's looking like information has leaked and Orton is scheduled (at the moment at least) to win the title.
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Post by burlington on Mar 30, 2017 8:58:40 GMT -5
UPDATED ODDS
Brock Lesnar 1/40 vs Goldberg 10/1 Lesnar now is the astronomical favorite. This one looks like a forgone conclusion.
Randy Orton 2/9 vs Bray Wyatt 11/4 Orton now the significant favorite after opening at 4/11.
Kevin Owens 1/10 vs Chris Jericho 5/1 Owens moves to a enormous favorite after opening up at 4/9.
Roman Reigns 1/5 vs Undertaker 3/1 Roman line has seen significant movement, after opening as a slight 4/7 favorite.
AJ Styles 1/8 vs Shane McMahon 9/2 AJ remains the huge favorite.
Seth Rollins 1/7 vs HHH 4/1 Rollins remains the huge favorite.
Bayley 3/10 vs Charlotte 7/2 vs Sasha Banks 4/1 vs Nia Jax 14/1 Not much movement here. Bayley remains the solid favorite, but Charlotte has leapfrogged Sasha as the second favorite.
Neville 2/7 vs Austin Aries 9/4 Some movement on Neville as he becomes the solid favorite to defend his Cruiserweight title.
Corbin 1/7 vs Ambrose 4/1 Corbin remains the big favorite to win.
Cena & Nikki Bella 1/10 vs Miz & Maryse 9/2 Whether or not Cena proposes is the only questionable outcome here as Cena & Nikki are dominant favorites
Enzo & Cass 4/11 vs Gallows & Anderson 17/10 vs Sheamus & Cesaro 7/1 Some big movement on Enzo & Cass here as they are now the significant favorites to win.
Andre Battle Royal Braun 1/8 Big Show 8/1 Sami Zayn 12/1 Luke Harper 20/1 -Braun still the huge favorite and likely winner.
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Post by rocketking on Mar 30, 2017 9:28:37 GMT -5
A question for anybody who follows these odds regularly (if they even exist for shows smaller than Wrestlemania):
How often does something as definitive as a -1000 (1/10) favorite end up being wrong? In sports (and obviously there's a huge difference), an upset like this would be roughly the equivalent of Holm over Rousey, depending on when you got in on the action. And for "scripted" things with betting like the Oscars, I can't recall a favorite that decisive ever losing.
(And for the record, I know that the point of odds is to inspire betting on both sides, not to "be right". That's actually a huge annoyance of mine when listening to sports pundits talking about betting lines.)
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Post by burlington on Mar 30, 2017 10:10:20 GMT -5
Brock beating the Undertaker is the only example i can think of. I remember Undertaker being a enormous favorite. Also i remember Ryback being a significant favorite (-500 range) vs Mark Henry and losing. Other than that i don't recall too many other examples. The limits are really low on these so a few max bets on one of these big dogs will set of alarm bells. Doesn't take much to move these lines.
But you know the WWE is fully aware of the fact that there are betting odds on these and maybe could throw some curve balls at us. Who knows!
if you are in any Wrestlemania pools with friends knowing the betting lines is a huge advantage.
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Post by RKing85 on Mar 30, 2017 16:28:49 GMT -5
get me the odds on Tian Bing to win the battle royal so I can bet the farm on it.
being the first show in China, the WWE is going to do like they did at 26 and have Tatsu win for the sole reason of impressing the Japanese representatives who were in attendance for Inoki's Hall of Fame induction.
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Post by burlington on Mar 31, 2017 6:46:54 GMT -5
Interesting new prop got posted. Wrestlemania 33 In Ring Appearance *Must appear inside the WWE Ring during Wrestlemania 33"
Finn Balor 3/10 Luke Harper 4/11 Hulk Hogan 1/2 Victoria 8/13 Asuka 4/6 Elias Samson 5/6 Stone Cold EVEN Shinsuke Nakamura 6/5 Edge 11/8 Melina 6/4 Trish Stratus 6/4 Scott Dawson 7/4 Dash Wilder 7/4 Bret Hart 15/8 Rob Van Dam 15/8 Bobby Roode 15/8 Kassius Ohno 5/2 Sting 3/1 Ronda Rousey 4/1 Kenny Omega 12/1 Conor McGregor 14/1 CM Punk 25/1
Wow! First thing that jumps out to me is Hogan as a 1/2 favorite. Holy shit Brother!
Seriously hope no one is actually going to bet on CM Punk lol. But there are crazy people in this world. I didn't even include all the silly names being offered. You can bet on Jerry Sags and Gillberg to appear if you wanted to.
Wonder what the plan is with Balor. I hope they re-create the Bullet Club with Balor as the leader. Would love to see Balor, Gallows and Anderson do a run-in after Lesnar wins and just beat him down. Setting up Balor vs Lesnar down the line.
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Post by RKing85 on Mar 31, 2017 17:48:35 GMT -5
Hogan doesn't surprise me at all. I have been expecting it ever since Brooke spilled the beans however many months back.
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Post by burlington on Apr 1, 2017 22:03:07 GMT -5
UPDATED ODDS as of Saturday
Lesnar 1/25 vs Goldberg 17/2
Orton 1/12 vs Bray Wyatt 5/1 Luke Harper to appear at ringside 4/7 Sister Abigail to appear at ringside 7/4
Owens 1/8 vs Jericho 9/2
Reigns 1/10 vs Undertaker 5/1
AJ Styles 1/8 vs Shane O'Mac 9/2
Seth Rollins 1/10 vs HHH 5/1
Cena & Nikki Bella 1/10 vs Miz & Maryse 9/2
Bayley 1/18 vs Sasha 6/1 vs Charlotte 11/2 vs Nia Jax 12/1
Baron Corbin 1/7 vs Dean Ambrose 4/1
Neville 1/14 vs Austin Aries 6/1
Gallows/Anderson 17/10 vs Enzo/Cass 4/11 vs Sheamus/Cesaro 7/1
Andre the Giant Battle Royal Braun Strowman 8/11 Sami Zayn 6/5 Mojo Rawley 7/2 Big Show 10/1 Luke Harper 20/1 Mark Henry 25/1
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Post by burlington on Apr 1, 2017 22:05:31 GMT -5
The lines on Orton, Reigns, Bayley and Neville have really sky rocketed. All are now heavy favorites to win.
Most interesting developement might be in the Andre Battle Royal where Braun Strowman goes from a overwhelming 1/8 favorite to a modest 8/11 favorite. Sami Zayn is now the second choice at 6/5 and Mojo Rawley out of nowhere is the third choice at 7/2.
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Post by rocketking on Apr 2, 2017 6:52:35 GMT -5
The lines on Orton, Reigns, Bayley and Neville have really sky rocketed. All are now heavy favorites to win. Most interesting developement might be in the Andre Battle Royal where Braun Strowman goes from a overwhelming 1/8 favorite to a modest 8/11 favorite. Sami Zayn is now the second choice at 6/5 and Mojo Rawley out of nowhere is the third choice at 7/2. Sami at 12/1 is a decent value bet, as were Mojo's longshot odds. A lot of action on those two picks might have moved the odds more so than any new information. I still think Strowman wins because he's still 6'8", 385 lbs. and Vince McMahon is still Vince McMahon.
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Post by burlington on Apr 2, 2017 10:16:59 GMT -5
The lines on Orton, Reigns, Bayley and Neville have really sky rocketed. All are now heavy favorites to win. Most interesting developement might be in the Andre Battle Royal where Braun Strowman goes from a overwhelming 1/8 favorite to a modest 8/11 favorite. Sami Zayn is now the second choice at 6/5 and Mojo Rawley out of nowhere is the third choice at 7/2. Sami at 12/1 is a decent value bet, as were Mojo's longshot odds. A lot of action on those two picks might have moved the odds more so than any new information. I still think Strowman wins because he's still 6'8", 385 lbs. and Vince McMahon is still Vince McMahon. Sami Zayn is officially the favorite now at 4/7 . Braun just behind at 5/6. Followed by Mojo still at 7/2 Crazy!
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